It appears that President Donald Trump has absorbed the terrible lesson that all of his predecessors in the twenty-first century have learnt: US ties with Vladimir Putin cannot be restored.
Trump’s journey from admiring the Russian leader to denouncing him has been a dramatic display of geopolitical personalisation. What comes next, however, is significantly more significant.
The president’s realisation opens up fresh options for Ukraine, Putin’s congressional detractors, and America’s browbeaten friends. However, there are risks involved as well, chief among them being a battle of will between alpha males Putin and Trump, who own the two most powerful nuclear arsenals in the world.
Trump constantly uses rhetoric and tariffs to try to increase the ante with both global allies and adversaries. However, as seen by the growing drone attacks on Kyiv, which are a direct message to the White House, Obama is now facing a vicious foe who ups the ante not with rhetoric but with real lives.
Given Trump’s transactional style, it’s reasonable to wonder how long his animosity against his former ally in the Kremlin will endure. Even while he talks of assisting Ukraine in defending itself, it’s difficult to imagine his change going as far as the tens of billions of dollars in financial and military aid that the US Congress delivered to Kyiv under the Biden administration.
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