The election results on Thursday have revealed the extreme fragmentation of British electoral politics. The English municipal elections were undoubtedly won by Reform UK. The party has secured the majority of seats and votes. In the end, the net gains will be considerably over 1,000.
In the meantime, the party reported an average vote share of 25% in a sample of more than 500 council wards where the BBC gathered comprehensive voting data. This is not a very high percentage, but it is nevertheless sufficient to put Reform well ahead of its competitors.
In areas where Brexit was strongly supported in 2016, Nigel Farage’s party has performed best. Support for Reform has averaged 40% in wards where over 60% of voters supported Leave.
In contrast, Reform earned an average of just 10% in areas where less than 40% supported Brexit. Even though the Greens’ victory was less significant, it was still their best election outcome to date. They have received 17% of the vote on average.
This is seven points better than the party’s performance in the local elections held just prior to the 2024 general election, which was its greatest local election result ever, and an eight-point gain over the party’s support in the 2022 local elections.
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