Friday, June 21, 2024
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Fed Officials Held Faith in Disinflation at the Last Meeting, Despite Doubts, According to the Minutes

According to the minutes of the US Central Bank’s April 30 May 1 session, despite their disappointment with recent inflation readings, Federal Reserve officials at their most recent policy meeting indicated they remained optimistic that price pressures would ease, albeit slowly.

“Participants… noted that they continued to expect that inflation would return to 2% over the medium term,” according to the minutes, but “the disinflation would likely take longer than previously thought.”

 

While the policy response for the time being would “involve maintaining” the central bank’s benchmark policy rate at its current level, the minutes, which were released on Wednesday, also included a discussion of potential future hikes.

“Various participants mentioned a willingness to tighten policy further should inflation risks materialize in a way that such an action became appropriate,” employing a modifier that doesn’t fit in the usual set of words, such as some, many, and most, used in the minutes to give a sense of how many officials voiced a particular opinion.

The minutes also reflected debate over how restrictive current monetary policy is given the economy’s strength, which is an essential discussion given the need for policy to be “sufficiently” restrictive to keep inflation under control.

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Friday, June 21, 2024

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